New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs – Pronostic Free and Predictions – NFL – 21/09/2025

Giants – Chiefs: New York on fire, Kansas City to restart the machine

Prime time at MetLife for two teams at 0–2 but in very different realities. Side Chiefs, the attack has not yet found its pace and Patrick Mohammeds drags an embarrassment to the wrist, but the margin of talent remains enormous. The Giants, they score by sequences but pay dearly a permeable defense and a pass-rush in dark. On paper, it's the perfect week for KC to get it right.

Chiefs: regain tempo and impose script

Two narrow reverses against large cylinder displacements, and yet positive signals: Mohammeds remains above average in EPA/play and PFF grade, and the return of Xavier Worthy could restore vertical depth to an aerial game too dependent on Travis Kelce. On the ground, Isaiah Pacheco has a real spot: the New York Seven Front is below standards in Run Defense Win Rate. If KC wins the scrimmage line early, the play-action and crossovers for Kelce/Worthy should open up, with cleaner pockets facing a low-performance rush.

New York: Big yards, but too many breaches

Russell Wilson comes out of a fireworks display facing Dallas (450 yds, 3 TD) and connection to the rookie Malik Nabers (167 yds, 2 TD) is real. But the protection remains friable, and the Giants are struggling on third attempt and in red zone. On the ground, Cam Skattebo has taken the portages and can stabilize the series, provided that the defense ceases to offer « Explosives » The chain. Faced with a unit of Steve Spannuolo who knows how to heat the pass-rush as soon as it leads to the score, each sterile series can quickly pay in duplicate.

History and Dynamics Giants vs Chiefs

The Chiefs remain in the nails in terms of efficiency despite 0–2, when the Giants have one of the league's worst defensive EPA levels. Muhammad had never chained three defeats; the context (pass-rush adverse weak, big plays conceded by NYG) is suitable to break the series. New York, for its part, showed the offensive respondent... but it was facing a Dallas defense in difficulty.

Groups announced

Chiefs. Rashee Rice suspended. Xavier Worthy (shoulder) and Mike Danna Uncertain; keys for Jawaan Taylor (knit) and Drue Tranquill (knocking) Marquise "Hollywood" Brown (cheville) monitored. Mohammeds announced going in spite of the wrist.

Giants. Lower offensive line: Andrew Thomas (foot) and John Michael Schmitz (toe) uncertain, Jon Runyan (back) affected. Defence: Rakeem Nuñez-Roches (foot) and Darius Muasau (commotion) to follow. Wan-Dale Robinson (foot) and Darius Slayton (aine) to be monitored in recipients.

Tactical key: clean pockets vs clean chains

For Chiefs: establish Pacheco to dictate blankets (linebackers that bite) then spam cross-concepts for Kelce and attack the flats/halves against a redesigned secondary. For NYG: tempo + quick game (RPO, Nabers slants), limit the 3&longs not to deliver Wilson to the simulated Spagnuolo blitz/games. The first who secures the occupation and wins the battle of the 3rd attempts will take the hand.

Pronostic Free New York Giants vs Kansas City Chiefs

The Spot « rebound » is designed for Chiefs: QB advantage, coaching advantage over defensive adjustments, and favorable match-up in trenches. The Giants will have their sequences, but constancy leans sharply towards visitors. Lealgo suggests that the Chiefs cover the gap of points -4.5!

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